The changes that have taken place in China over the past five years are greater than in the past 100 years. I believe that in the next five years, everyone will witness even greater changes. Many techniques are difficult to predict, but some of the technology is predictable. In the next 5-10 years, there are two major technological trends, which are general directions, major trends, and not specific technologies.
Combination of human and artificial intelligence
Why do you want to say artificial intelligence?
Artificial intelligence has made great breakthroughs after the combination of the three major technologies, bringing rapid progress.
1. The first is the neural network, a software that simulates brain behavior. It has been 50 years old and we call it deep learning.
2. Second, artificial intelligence was used to run supercomputers, because only these computers can be calculated in parallel. Artificial intelligence researchers have found that there are very small chips called GPUs image processing units that can be used for artificial intelligence. This is what Baidu and Google are doing, and Amazon has also applied these GPUs.
3. The third is a large amount of data. Only big companies like Baidu, Alibaba, Google, and Microsoft have massive amounts of big data. These three aspects have made a great breakthrough in artificial intelligence in the past decade.
The industrial wind vane believes that every kind of artificial intelligence is different. Even if some aspects are stronger than people, it has no way to think like humans. The benefit of artificial intelligence is not that it is smarter than people, but rather different ways of thinking.
Different ways of thinking in artificial intelligence can lead to different outcomes, which will allow you to start a business and give you different ideas, even when we are connected to each other.
The challenge now is how you can have different ways of thinking when everyone is connected. Artificial intelligence can help us. We work with AI not because it is smarter than us, but mainly because he has different ways of thinking.
In addition, artificial intelligence will bring a new round of industrial revolution. Artificial intelligence opens up infinite possibilities and is extremely large. Another point to emphasize is that artificial intelligence will pay for the artificial intelligence you need, just like paying for electricity.
Artificial intelligence example
Google's artificial intelligence, we can go to some photos to ask questions, what color is this ball, what color is the tennis player's skirt, these smart are all you can buy, 100 questions, just spend 60 cents Buy, this is the price today.
It is true that you can buy artificial intelligence directly from the cloud, and you can spend money. So we can put artificial intelligence into the body and become a robot.
Robots can learn. Tesla's robots can have eyes and look at the things around them. It is not a robot that was previously programmed, but has the ability to learn by itself. Through continuous learning and trial and error, it is constantly improved. .
What are humans good at?
The work that humans are good at is not really the work that requires high efficiency. What kind of work is there? We can consider innovation and entrepreneurship. In fact, if you keep trying to make mistakes and fail, you can become an innovator and a true entrepreneur.
Innovation itself is not about pursuing fast. If you ask for something to be successful immediately, it is obvious that you cannot innovate and are inefficient. Robots are not good at this aspect, but humans are very good at it.
When we talk about the need for interpersonal relationships between people, the efficiency is not very high. Some of the important work is not efficiency, but something else. At this time, people's role is far greater than that of robots. In the future, humans can use the power of artificial intelligence to defeat robots.
This time is a combination of human and artificial intelligence. It is already a superhuman. It is stronger than any simple AI. The combination of human and artificial intelligence is superpower.
The industrial wind vane believes that in the future, as long as you work well with any intelligence, you can get high wages, so we need to understand that we will fight alongside the robots instead of fighting each other.
Therefore, we must learn how to work with artificial intelligence, I believe it will affect many industries. More and more artificial intelligence will do more in the next decade or two.
Human-computer interaction will enter the VR era
What is the most important technical element?
In the future, we will interact more with these equipment hardware and computers. The industrial wind vane believes that the final interaction with the computer is to enter our VR. I think this will become a reality in the next five years.
In the past few years, we have waited for such a technology is a smart phone, the large-scale commercialization of smart phones has greatly reduced costs. The gospel brought by smartphones can bring VR to the future.
The next platform for smartphones is virtual reality because it allows us to get involved and participate in a different way than the Internet. First of all, there are two kinds of virtual reality. This black VR with glasses takes you to another world. This is an immersive experience. This is what game developers want and the most common virtual reality.
There is also a new kind of mixed reality MR, also called AR augmented reality, that is, you can see the room in your normal glasses, your kitchen, office or bedroom.
This strange glasses can show a virtual thing, maybe it is a little bit away from reality, but you can really feel his existence, this is mixed reality.
The industrial wind vane knows that it is technically more difficult and more difficult than normal VR, so you can do virtual reality with mixed reality, but there is no way to reverse it, so mixed reality is more complicated.
AR example
It’s a pet elf. It’s very hot in many places like Japan and the United States. Thousands of people look at these little pet elves. It’s not wearing glasses. It just lets you experience how virtual things mix with knowledge. Such an ability to demonstrate, demonstrate the ability of MR, everyone will go to the park to go outside, communicate with their neighbors, has not been such a phenomenon for a long time.
Track all data in the future
As long as everything that can be tracked will be tracked, this is a store in Suning, they can track all the customers' whereabouts in the store. They can know how long each person has stopped at this counter and can do a orientation. The entire track in the physical store is recorded.
Virtual reality is itself a large amount of data tracking. To achieve virtual reality, we need to capture in all directions. Various cameras require PT-level data information. We can expand the data infrastructure.
Some people say that Apple wants to be a car because they want to be a self-driving car. You use your own VR when you enter the car. You might think that if you have an Apple virtual reality car it is good.
Virtual reality now brings a lot of data, like these wearables, it tracks my sleep, actions, heart rate, and various metrics.
Now these things are very cheap, the cost of tracking is very low, and we find that basically everything you can think of is tracking your data.
Look at our health indicators, keep track of our indicators, and some people may check their blood pressure once a year. In fact, our blood pressure should be tested every day, every hour can be seen, if it is free, then we can do it.
Tracking data example
There is a company in San Francisco. When treating some diseases, patients will take different drugs and have a 3D printer for medicine. At this time, his self-quantifying equipment or clothing itself has this metering function, measuring the effect of the medicine and sending a signal to the computer. At this time, it will self-adjust the dose of the next day, so it is an intelligent, very personalized medical treatment, which is the value of the entire medical tracking.
At the beginning of the development of artificial intelligence, VR, including these real-time tracking, it can generate infinite energy and constantly push the times forward. This is the best era in history, that is, the best era for us human beings to create and innovate.
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